Sunday, March 11, 2018

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (91st)

"NEVER TOO EARLY" PREDICTIONS

LIKELY

1. CATE BLANCHETT (WHERE'D YOU GO, BERNADETTE)

Role: Bernadette Fox, an agoraphobic mother who goes missing

Oscar Record: 7 nominations, with wins for The Aviator and Blue Jasmine

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Cate Blanchett is a true Oscar favorite and astonishingly disappears into any role that she inhabits. As an anxiety-ridden mother whose disappearance before a family trip facilitates a search and self-discovery of her daughter, Blanchett might give us enough shades of her masterclass Blue Jasmine acting plus maternal warmth that has been lacking in most of her Oscar-nominated roles. So she'll probably give us something new again and blow our minds once more.

2. AMY ADAMS (BACKSEAT)

Role: Lynne Cheney, wife of Dick Cheney

Oscar Record: 5 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Putting on prostheses and playing the wife of a powerful political figure might just be the role that gets semi-regular nominee Amy Adams her first Oscar, two years after she barely missed a nomination for Arrival. She's well loved by the Academy, to be sure. A nomination is likely, at least, if the politics don't get in the way.

3. CLAIRE FOY (FIRST MAN)

Role: Janet Shearon, first wife of Neil Armstrong

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Claire Foy's isn't a household name in cinema yet, with most of the praise going her way via her work on TV's "The Crown." But she was given strong reviews for her performance in last year's Breathe, and this year she also has what looks like a tremendous lead performance in Steven Soderbergh's Unsafe. But being the biopic that this is, and one about Neil Armstrong at that, expect this to be the likelier first nomination.

MAYBE

4. MARGOT ROBBIE (MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS)

Role: Queen Elizabeth I

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Margot Robbie is a new Hollywood darling with her bravura performance in I, Tonya and her endearing red carpet appearances. And now she'll be playing off against fellow nominee Saoirse Ronan, and no less than in a role that has seen multiple actresses getting nominated or even winning. It's certainly one of the most Oscar-bait roles around, so she doesn't need to do much, but we all know she'll deliver.

POSSIBLE

5. NICOLE KIDMAN (BOY ERASED)

Role: Nancy Conley, mother of a young man who gets sent to gay conversion therapy

Oscar Record: 4 nominations, with a win for The Hours

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Her last Oscar nomination was for portraying a warm, loving mother in Lion. This year, she might get nominated for playing an entirely different type of mother. Her transformative look alone might land her a nomination. But the last time she played nasty in The Paperboy, the Academy ignored her, so the voters might like their Nicole Kidman less icy.

6. Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)

Role: Sharon Rivers, mother of a woman in a race to prove her fiancé's innocence

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

7. Maura Tierney (Beautiful Boy)

Role: Karen Barbour, step-mother to a teen addicted to meth

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

8. Rachel Weisz (The Mercy)

Role: Clare Crowhurst, wife of an amateur sailor who attempts to circumnavigate the world alone

Oscar Record: 1 nomination and win for The Constant Gardener

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

9. Saoirse Ronan (The Seagull)

Role: Nina Zarechnaya, a young noblewoman caught up in a web of love

Oscar Record: 3 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

10. Tilda Swinton (Suspiria)

Role: Madam Blanc, vice-directress of a dark and mysterious dance academy

Oscar Record: 1 nomination and win for Michael Clayton

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Potential Major Players Currently Without Distributors (any of these can easily displace the lower-ranked contenders above once release dates are officially announced):
Jennifer Aniston (Dumplin')
Gemma Arterton (Vita and Virginia)
Patricia Clarkson (The Bookshop)
Laura Dern (Trial By Fire)
Vera Farmiga (The Front Runner)
Andrea Riseborough (Burden)
Kristen Stewart (Lizzie)
Naomi Watts (Ophelia)

Other Contenders:
Nina Arianda (Stan and Ollie)
Patricia Arquette (The Bell Jar)
Kathy Bates (The Death and Life of John F. Donovan)
Kathy Bates (On the Basis of Sex)
Juliette Binoche (High Life)
Lina Cardellini (Green Book)
Kayli Carter (Private Life)
Jessica Chastain (The Death and Life of John F. Donovan)
Patricia Clarkson (The Party)
Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Blythe Danner (What They Had)
Essie Davis (The True History of the Kelly Gang)
Adèle Exarchopoulos (The White Crow)
Taissa Farmiga (What They Had)
Mia Goth (High Life)
Rebecca Hall (A Rainy Day in New York)
Laura Harrier (Black Klansman)
Anne Hathaway (Serenity)
Shirley Henderson (Stan and Ollie)
Jennifer Hudson (Monster)
Cherry Jones (The Party)
Carol Kane (The Sisters Brothers)
Zoe Kazan (New York Winter Palace)
Riley Keough (Under the Silver Lake)
Mélanie Laurent (Operation Finale)
Jennifer Jason Leigh (White Boy Rick)
Rooney Mara (Don't Worry, He Won't Get Far on Foot)
Brit Marling (The Wife)
Rachel McAdams (Disobedience)
Frances McDormand (The Wife)
Emily Mortimer (The Party)
Elisabeth Moss (The Seagull)
Anna Paquin (The Irishman)
Maxine Peake (Peterloo)
Bel Powley (The Bell Jar)
Bel Powley (White Boy Rick)
Vanessa Redgrave (Georgetown)
Haley Lu Richardson (Operation Finale)
Susan Sarandon (The Death and Life of John F. Donovan)
Chloë Sevigny (Lean on Pete)
Amanda Seyfried (First Reformed)
Molly Shannon (Private Life)
Millicent Simmonds (A Quiet Place)
Meryl Streep (Mary Poppins Returns)
Uma Thurman (The House That Jack Built)
Jeanne Tripplehorn (Gloria)
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)
Kristen Wiig (Where'd You Go, Bernadette)
Michelle Yeoh (Crazy Rich Asians)

2 comments:

Andrew R. said...

WILL/SHOULD WIN: Mo'nique all the way.
SNUBBED: Melanie Laurent, Julianne Moore

Basil Alvin said...

there is no movie which made without supporting character.This is a good list and like your search.I saw many Top 10 List but i couldn't see that type of post yet.