Tuesday, December 26, 2017

BEST DIRECTOR 2018

DECEMBER PREDICTIONS

MOST LIKELY

1. CHRISTOPHER NOLAN (DUNKIRK)

Oscar Record: 
3 nominations (as producer, writer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, Atlanta Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Director, Florida Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Director, Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Best Director-Motion Picture, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)
Nomination, Director, British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA)
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

2. GUILLERMO DEL TORO (THE SHAPE OF WATER)

Oscar Record:
1 nomination (as writer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Director, Kansas City Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Director, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, Nevada Film Critics Society
Win, Best Director, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director-Motion Picture, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)
Nomination, Best Director, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Director, British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA)
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

LIKELY

3. STEVEN SPIELBERG (THE POST)

Oscar Record:
16 nominations (as director, producer), with wins for directing Schindler's List, Saving Private Ryan and producing Schindler's List; and the Irving G. Thalberg Memorial Award

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Director, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Best Director-Motion Picture, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)

MAYBE

4. MARTIN MCDONAGH (THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI)

Oscar Record:
2 nominations (as writer and for short film), with a win for directing the live action short film "Six Shooter"

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Director, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Best Director-Motion Picture, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)
Nomination, Director, British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA)
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

POSSIBLE

5. GRETA GERWIG (LADY BIRD)

Oscar Record:
No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, National Board of Review
Win, Best Director, San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Director, Toronto Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, Indiana Film Journalists Association
Win, Best Director, National Society of Film Critics
Nomination, Bingham Ray Breakthrough Director, Gotham Independent Film Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

6. Jordan Peele (Get Out)

Oscar Record:
No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, Philadelphia Film Critics Circle
Win, Bingham Ray Breakthrough Director, Gotham Independent Film Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Film Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in First-Time Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

7. Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name)

Oscar Record: 
No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, Film Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Director, British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA)

8. Sean Baker (The Florida Project)

Oscar Record:
No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, New York Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Director, Detroit Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, Film Independent Spirit Awards

9. Dee Rees (Mudbound)

Oscar Record:
No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, New York Film Critics Online

10. Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread)

Oscar Record:
6 nominations (as director, producer, writer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, Boston Online Film Critics Association

2 comments:

Toto said...

My vote for best director goes to Julian Schnabel. He did a great job in The Diving Bell and the Butterfly which I saw last year in my film class under William Wolf (former chairman of the New York Film Critics Circle). It's one of the best films I've seen last year. I think it's even better than Julian's previous opus, When Night Falls (with the great Javier Bardem whose work in No Country for Old Men would be hard to beat in the Best Supporting Acting category).

Andrew R. said...

WILL WIN: Bigelow or Cameron
SHOULD WIN: Bigelow
SNUBBED: Eh. Nobody, really.

(See Best Picture for my opinion on Antichrist.)