Sunday, March 11, 2018

BEST DIRECTOR (91st)

"NEVER TOO EARLY" PREDICTIONS

LIKELY

1. DAMIEN CHAZELLE (FIRST MAN)

Oscar Record: 3 nominations (as director, writer), with a win for directing La La Land

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

2. BARRY JENKINS (IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK)

Oscar Record: 2 nominations (as director, writer), with a win for writing Moonlight

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

MAYBE

3. ADAM MCKAY (BACKSEAT)

Oscar Record: 2 nominations (as director, writer), with a win for writing The Big Short

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

4. MIMI LEDER (ON THE BASIS OF SEX)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

POSSIBLE

5. RICHARD LINKLATER (WHERE'D YOU GO, BERNADETTE)

Oscar Record: 5 nominations (as director, writer, producer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

6. Orson Welles (The Other Side of the Wind)

Oscar Record: 3 nominations (as director, writer, actor), with a win for writing Citizen Kane and an Honorary Award

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

7. Ryan Coogler (Black Panther)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

8. Joel Edgerton (Boy Erased)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

9. Felix van Groeningen (Beautiful Boy)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

10. Terry Gilliam (The Man Who Killed Don Quixote)

Oscar Record: 1 nomination (as writer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Potential Major Players Currently Without Distributors (any of these can easily displace the lower-ranked contenders above once release dates are officially announced):
Robin Bissell (The Best of Enemies)
Isabel Coixet (The Bookshop)
Andrew Heckler (Burden)
Bo Burnham (Eighth Grade)
Asghar Farhadi (Everybody Knows)
Jason Reitman (The Front Runner)
Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
Steven Spielberg (The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara)
Julie Taymor (My Life On the Road)
Desiree Akhavan (The Miseducation of Cameron Post)
David Gordon Green (Newsflash)
Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
Edward Zwick (Trial By Fire)

Other Contenders:
Alex Garland (Annihilation)
Julian Schnabel (At Eternity's Gate)
Anthony Russo, Joe Russo (Avengers: Infinity War)
Kirsten Dunst (The Bell Jar)
Peter Hedges (Ben is Back)
Spike Lee (Black Klansman)
Dexter Fletcher (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Ben Lewin (The Catcher Was a Spy)
Richard Eyre (The Children Act)
Wash Westmoreland (Colette)
Joshua Marston (Come Sunday)
David Zellner, Nathan Zellner (Damsel)
Xavier Dolan (The Death and Life of John F. Donovan)
Armando Iannucci (The Death of Stalin)
Karyn Kusama (Destroyer)
Sebastian Lelio (Disobedience)
Gus Van Sant (Don't Worry, He Won't Get Far on Foot)
Anne Fletcher (Dumplin')
Joe Berlinger (Extremely Wicked, Shockingly Evil and Vile)
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite)
Paul Schrader (First Reformed)
Taylor Hackford (George and Tammy)
Christoph Waltz (Georgetown)
Sebastian Lelio (Gloria)
Peter Farrelly (Green Book)
Rupert Everett (The Happy Prince)
Ari Aster (Hereditary)
Claire Denis (High Life)
Reed Morano (I Think We're Alone Now)
Brad Bird (Incredibles 2)
Wes Anderson (Isle of Dogs)
Sara Colangelo (The Kindergarten Teacher)
Andrew Haigh (Lean on Pete)
Debra Granik (Leave No Trace)
Craig William Macneill (Lizzie)
Terry Gilliam (The Man Who Killed Don Quixote)
Garth Davis (Mary Magdalene)
Rob Marshall (Mary Poppins Returns)
Josie Rourke (Mary Queen of Scots)
James Marsh (The Mercy)
Anthony Mandler (Monster)
Andy Serkis (Mowgli)
Lone Scherfig (New York Winter Palace)
Paul Greengrass (Norway)
Dominic Cooke (On Chesil Beach)
Chris Weitz (Operation Finale)
Claire McCarthy (Ophelia)
David Mackenzie (Outlaw King)
Orson Welles (The Other Side of the Wind)
Sally Potter (The Party)
Mike Leigh (Peterloo)
Tamara Jenkins (Private Life)
Matthew Heineman (A Private War)
Marc Turtletaub (Puzzle)
John Krasinski (A Quiet Place)
Terrence Malick (Radegund)
Woody Allen (A Rainy Day in New York)
Steven Spielberg (Ready Player One)
Michael Mayer (The Seagull)
Aneesh Chaganty (Search)
Steven Knight (Serenity)
Stefano Solima (Sicario 2: Soldado)
Jacques Audiard (The Sisters Brothers)
Boots Riley (Sorry to Bother You)
Jon S. Baird (Stan and Ollie)
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
Luca Guadagnino (Suspiria)
Justin Kurzel (The True History of the Kelly Gang)
Jason Reitman (Tully)
David Robert Mitchell (Under the Silver Lake)
Steven Soderbergh (Unsane)
Chanya Button (Vita and Virginia)
Behn Zeitlin (Wendy)
Elizabeth Chomko (What They Had)
Andrew Dosonmu (Where is Kyra?)
Yann Demange (White Boy Rick)
Ralph Fiennes (The White Crow)
Steve McQueen (Widows)
Björn Runge (The Wife)
Paul Dano (Wildlife)
Robert Zemeckis (The Women of Marwen)
Ava DuVernay (A Wrinkle in Time)
Lynne Ramsay (You Were Never Really Here)

2 comments:

Toto said...

My vote for best director goes to Julian Schnabel. He did a great job in The Diving Bell and the Butterfly which I saw last year in my film class under William Wolf (former chairman of the New York Film Critics Circle). It's one of the best films I've seen last year. I think it's even better than Julian's previous opus, When Night Falls (with the great Javier Bardem whose work in No Country for Old Men would be hard to beat in the Best Supporting Acting category).

Andrew R. said...

WILL WIN: Bigelow or Cameron
SHOULD WIN: Bigelow
SNUBBED: Eh. Nobody, really.

(See Best Picture for my opinion on Antichrist.)